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Philadelphia vs. Nashville Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Philadelphia vs. Nashville at the MLS on July 12, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Philadelphia
2
0
Jul 13, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
Nashville
Jul 13, 12:30AM GEODIS Park (Nashville, Tennessee)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NashvilleNSH
Score Summary
PhiladelphiaPHI
D. Lovitz (81')
Red Card icon
S. Moore (90')
Red Card icon
D. Gazdag (pen.) (40')
Soccer ball icon
D. Gazdag (pen.) (84')
Soccer ball icon
J. Carranza (90')
Red Card icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NSH
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
PHI
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: L. Haakenson replaces D. McCarty
90'
Red Card
S. Moore (Nashville SC) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Red Card
J. Carranza (Philadelphia Union) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: A. Perea replaces D. Gazdag
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: J. Gregus replaces T. Bunbury
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: T. Washinghton replaces S. Davis
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag (pen.)
2-0
84'
Yellow Card
D. Gazdag (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
81'
Red Card
D. Lovitz (Nashville SC) sent off for a second yellow card
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Real replaces K. Wagner
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: O. Mbaizo replaces N. Harriel
70'
Yellow Card
T. Bunbury (Nashville SC) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: A. Muyl replaces R. Leal
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Nashville SC: F. Picault replaces J. Shaffelburg
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: M. Uhre replaces Q. Sullivan
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Philadelphia Union: J. McGlynn replaces A. Bedoya
44'
Yellow Card
K. Wagner (Philadelphia Union) cautioned
43'
Yellow Card
R. Leal (Nashville SC) cautioned
40'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Philadelphia Union by D. Gazdag (pen.)
1-0
39'
Yellow Card
D. Lovitz (Nashville SC) cautioned

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Philadelphia vs. Nashville: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Nashville prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Philadelphia vs. Nashville
  • Date: Wednesday, July 12, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: GEODIS Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia +340, Nashville -110, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/-108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Philadelphia: 25.9%
  • Nashville: 48.4%
  • Draw: 25.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Philadelphia 1-1 Nashville, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Philadelphia is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.9% probability, while Nashville sits at 48.4%, with the draw at 25.7%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Philadelphia vs. Nashville prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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