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Minnesota vs. Houston Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Minnesota vs. Houston at the MLS on July 12, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Minnesota
3
0
Jul 13, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
Houston
Jul 13, 12:30AM Shell Energy Stadium (Houston, Texas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
HoustonHOU
Score Summary
MinnesotaMIN
B. Hlongwane (15')
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T. Pukki (20')
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I. Tajouri (87')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
HOU
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MIN
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
F. Escobar (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: E. Bartlow replaces E. Sviatchenko
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by I. Tajouri
3-0
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: L. A. Caicedo M. replaces Artur
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: C. Gasper replaces D. Steres
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: B. Dibassy replaces M. Tapias
68'
Yellow Card
Micael (Houston Dynamo) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: M. Garcia replaces T. Pukki
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: W. Trapp replaces E. Reynoso
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Minnesota United: I. Tajouri replaces J. Rosales
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: T. Ulfarsson replaces C. Baird
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Houston Dynamo: I. Franco replaces N. Quinones
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by T. Pukki, assisted by E. Reynoso
2-0
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Minnesota United by B. Hlongwane
1-0

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Minnesota vs. Houston: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Houston prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Minnesota vs. Houston
  • Date: Wednesday, July 12, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Shell Energy Stadium
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Minnesota +310, Houston -120, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Minnesota: 23.5%
  • Houston: 53.7%
  • Draw: 22.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Minnesota 1-1 Houston, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Minnesota is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 23.5% probability, while Houston sits at 53.7%, with the draw at 22.8%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Minnesota vs. Houston prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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