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Vancouver vs. St Louis City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Vancouver vs. St Louis City at the MLS on May 27, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Vancouver
1
3
May 28, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
St Louis City
May 28, 12:30AM CITYPARK (St. Louis, Missouri)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
St Louis CitySTL
Score Summary
VancouverVAN
E. Lowen (10')
Soccer ball icon
T. Blackmon (o.g.) (45')
Soccer ball icon
M. Perez (90')
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B. White (83')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
STL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VAN
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Bell replaces N. Gioacchini
90'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: A. Jackson replaces I. Vassilev
90'
Yellow Card
J. Gressel (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
R. Gauld (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by M. Perez, assisted by T. Ostrak
1-3
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: L. Johnson replaces A. Schopf
85'
Yellow Card
N. Blom (St. Louis City) cautioned
83'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Vancouver Whitecaps by B. White, assisted by J. Gressel
1-2
72'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: T. Ostrak replaces J. Stroud
72'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: M. Perez replaces Celio Pompeu
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: S. Cordova replaces J. Brown
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: A. Cubas replaces P. Vite
63'
Substitution
Substitution for St. Louis City: J. Nelson replaces J. Nerwinski
60'
Yellow Card
J. Stroud (St. Louis City) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: D. Caicedo replaces S. Berhalter
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Vancouver Whitecaps: B. White replaces S. Becher
49'
Yellow Card
S. Berhalter (Vancouver Whitecaps) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by T. Blackmon (o.g.)
0-2
22'
Yellow Card
T. Parker (St. Louis City) cautioned
20'
Yellow Card
J. Nerwinski (St. Louis City) cautioned
10'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for St. Louis City by E. Lowen
0-1

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Vancouver vs. St Louis City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Vancouver vs. St Louis City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Vancouver vs. St Louis City
  • Date: Saturday, May 27, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: CITYPARK
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Vancouver +190, St Louis City +125, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+115)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Vancouver: 26.0%
  • St Louis City: 49.9%
  • Draw: 24.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Vancouver 1-1 St Louis City, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Vancouver is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.0% probability, while St Louis City sits at 49.9%, with the draw at 24.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Vancouver vs. St Louis City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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