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Dallas vs. Sporting KC Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Dallas vs. Sporting KC at the MLS on May 31, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Dallas
1
2
Jun 1, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
Sporting KC
Jun 1, 12:30AM Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, Kansas)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Sporting KCSKC
Score Summary
DallasFCD
G. Kinda (41')
Soccer ball icon
D. Salloi (60')
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J. Ferreira (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SKC
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
FCD
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for FC Dallas by J. Ferreira, assisted by F. Quignon
1-2
90'
Yellow Card
E. Cerrillo (FC Dallas) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: B. Kamungo replaces A. Velasco
83'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: H. Endeley replaces J. Obrian
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: K. Shelton replaces G. Zusi
71'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: J. Mulato replaces J. Jimenez
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: T. Leibold replaces L. Ndenbe
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Castellanos replaces D. Rosero
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: R. Walter replaces G. Kinda
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by D. Salloi, assisted by G. Kinda
0-2
55'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: Geovane Jesus replaces C. Smith
55'
Substitution
Substitution for FC Dallas: F. Quignon replaces N. Norris
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Sporting Kansas City: G. Zusi replaces J. Davis
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sporting Kansas City by G. Kinda, assisted by D. Salloi
0-1
37'
Yellow Card
L. Ndenbe (Sporting Kansas City) cautioned

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Dallas vs. Sporting KC: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Dallas vs. Sporting KC prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all MLS matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Dallas vs. Sporting KC
  • Date: Wednesday, May 31, 2023
  • Time: 8:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Children's Mercy Park
  • Tournament: MLS

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Dallas +330, Sporting KC -115, draw +255
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-112/-108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Dallas: 27.9%
  • Sporting KC: 45.0%
  • Draw: 27.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Dallas 1-1 Sporting KC, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Dallas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.9% probability, while Sporting KC sits at 45.0%, with the draw at 27.1%.

For full access to MLS predictions, probabilities, and tools such as MLS best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Dallas vs. Sporting KC prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the MLS and the latest MLS news.

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