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Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on November 30, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Pumas UNAM
0
1
Dec 1, 3:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Dec 1, 3:05AM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Pumas UNAMUNAM
F. Beltran (43')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
UNAM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces E. Gutierrez
90'
Yellow Card
J. Padilla (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Molina replaces S. Trigos
85'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Gutierrez replaces E. Salvio
84'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: J. Dinenno replaces G. Fernandez
83'
Yellow Card
R. Alvarado (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Cisneros replaces R. Marin
71'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces U. Rivas
68'
Yellow Card
U. Rivas (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
63'
Substitution
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Lopez replaces G. Del Prete
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: A. Vega replaces I. Brizuela
53'
Yellow Card
L. Magallan (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
43'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by F. Beltran, assisted by C. Calderon
0-1

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Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Thursday, November 30, 2023
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +235, Guadalajara +140, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-135)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Pumas UNAM: 25.0%
  • Guadalajara: 50.7%
  • Draw: 24.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 25.0% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 50.7%, with the draw at 24.3%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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