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Monterrey vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Monterrey vs. Pachuca at the Liga MX on November 4, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
2
0
Nov 5, 3:05AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Nov 5, 3:05AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
G. Berterame (13')
Soccer ball icon
R. Funes Mori (27')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MON
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: C. Garza replaces L. Romo
90'
Yellow Card
M. Rodriguez (Pachuca) cautioned
83'
Yellow Card
G. Cabral (Pachuca) cautioned
80'
Yellow Card
V. Lopez (Monterrey) cautioned
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Gonzalez replaces O. Govea
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Moxica replaces G. Berterame
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: B. D. Castillo Segura replaces J. Castillo
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: M. Hinestroza replaces A. Dominguez
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces R. Funes Mori
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: V. Lopez replaces J. Corona
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: P. Pedraza replaces C. Ortiz
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: J. Lopez replaces David Terans
27'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. Funes Mori
2-0
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by G. Berterame, assisted by J. Corona
1-0

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Monterrey vs. Pachuca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Pachuca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, November 4, 2023
  • Time: 11:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +165, Pachuca +165, draw +250
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-115/-103)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Monterrey: 38.0%
  • Pachuca: 36.0%
  • Draw: 26.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Monterrey 1-1 Pachuca, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 38.0% probability, while Pachuca sits at 36.0%, with the draw at 26.0%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Pachuca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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