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Toluca vs. Mazatlan Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Toluca vs. Mazatlan at the Liga MX on November 10, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Toluca
0
1
Nov 11, 1:06AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
Mazatlan
Nov 11, 1:06AM Estadio El Encanto (Mazatlán)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
MazatlanMAZ
Score Summary
TolucaTOL
J. Intriago (68')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
MAZ
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
TOL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Mosquera (Toluca) cautioned
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: F. Venegas replaces A. Montano
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: J. Maduena replaces Y. Barcenas
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: F. Navarro replaces J. Meneses
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: Pedro Raul replaces M. Ruiz
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mazatlan FC by J. Intriago, assisted by D. J. Colman Escobar
0-1
65'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: C. Orrantia replaces J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: J. Angulo replaces C. Baeza
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Toluca: R. Morales replaces E. I. Lopez Rodriguez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: A. Medina replaces R. E. Camacho Lastra
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Mazatlan FC: V. Alvarado replaces J. Diaz

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Toluca vs. Mazatlan: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Toluca vs. Mazatlan prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Toluca vs. Mazatlan
  • Date: Friday, November 10, 2023
  • Time: 8:06 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Toluca +110, Mazatlan +210, draw +310

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Toluca: 50.7%
  • Mazatlan: 27.1%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Toluca 1-1 Mazatlan, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Toluca is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.7% probability, while Mazatlan sits at 27.1%, with the draw at 22.2%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Toluca vs. Mazatlan prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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