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Puebla vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Puebla vs. Pachuca at the Liga MX on October 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Puebla
1
:
1
Oct 29, 2:05AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Oct 29, 2:05AM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
PueblaPBL
L. Di Yorio (7')
Soccer ball icon
K. Velasco (12')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
PBL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces G. Ferrareis
90'
Yellow Card
L. de los Santos (Puebla) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. de los Santos replaces K. Velasco
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Aguilar replaces D. Alvarez
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: D. Hernandez replaces O. Idrissi
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces L. Di Yorio
73'
Yellow Card
C. Ortiz (Pachuca) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: C. Ortiz replaces P. Pedraza
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: R. de la Rosa replaces David Terans
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: A. Robles replaces C. Baltazar
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: A. Dominguez replaces M. Hinestroza
52'
Yellow Card
E. Sanchez (Pachuca) cautioned
12'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by K. Velasco, assisted by B. Angulo
1-1
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by L. Di Yorio, assisted by S. D. Barreto
0-1

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Puebla vs. Pachuca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Puebla vs. Pachuca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Puebla vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Puebla +360, Pachuca -143, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-160/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Puebla: 17.7%
  • Pachuca: 62.5%
  • Draw: 19.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Puebla 1-2 Pachuca, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Puebla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.7% probability, while Pachuca sits at 62.5%, with the draw at 19.8%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Puebla vs. Pachuca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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