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Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on October 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Tigres UANL
4
0
Oct 29, 2:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
Guadalajara
Oct 29, 2:05AM Estadio Jalisco (Guadalajara)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
Tigres UANLUANL
N. Ibanez (15')
Soccer ball icon
N. Ibanez (53')
Soccer ball icon
D. Lainez (86')
Soccer ball icon
M. Flores (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
UANL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Herrera (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
J. Vigon (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by M. Flores
4-0
88'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: M. Flores replaces D. Lainez
86'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by D. Lainez
3-0
83'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Rios replaces G. Sepulveda
80'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: V. Lorona replaces L. Quinones
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Padilla replaces I. Brizuela
72'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces F. Gonzalez
72'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Herrera replaces S. Cordova
71'
Substitution
Substitution for U.A.N.L.- Tigres: J. Vigon replaces F. Gorriaran
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: R. Cisneros replaces V. Guzman
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by N. Ibanez, assisted by L. Quinones
2-0
52'
Yellow Card
A. Briseno (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
N. Guzman (U.A.N.L.- Tigres) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
A. Mozo (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
39'
Yellow Card
M. Mayorga (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
39'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: C. Calderon replaces M. Mayorga
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for U.A.N.L.- Tigres by N. Ibanez, assisted by L. Quinones
1-0

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Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Saturday, October 28, 2023
  • Time: 10:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Jalisco
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tigres UANL +165, Guadalajara +180, draw +230
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-103/-122)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Tigres UANL: 33.0%
  • Guadalajara: 39.0%
  • Draw: 27.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Tigres UANL 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Tigres UANL is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 33.0% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 39.0%, with the draw at 27.9%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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