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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul at the Liga MX on October 7, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LIGA MX
FINAL
LIGA MX
4
1
Oct 8, 3:10AM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
Oct 8, 3:10AM Estadio Azteca (Ciudad de México (D.F.))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
A. Sepulveda (45')
C. S. Huerta Valera (pen.) (30')
C. S. Huerta Valera (60')
U. Rivas (72')
Nathan Silva (80')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. Morales replaces U. Antuna
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: C. Tabo replaces A. Aldrete
Substitution for Cruz Azul: K. D. Castano Gil replaces C. Rodriguez
Substitution for Cruz Azul: A. H. Gutierrez Torres replaces C. Rotondi
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by Nathan Silva, assisted by G. Fernandez
4-1
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by U. Rivas, assisted by P. Bennevendo
3-1
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: P. Bennevendo replaces P. Monroy
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: A. Ortiz replaces E. Salvio
Substitution for Cruz Azul: D. Cambindo replaces A. Sepulveda
Substitution for Cruz Azul: Moises replaces R. Huescas
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by C. S. Huerta Valera, assisted by S. Trigos
2-1
A. Aldrete (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
J. Gonzalez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: S. Trigos replaces R. Lopez
Substitution for U.N.A.M.- Pumas: R. Ergas replaces J. Dinenno
P. Monroy (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
Goal scored for Cruz Azul by A. Sepulveda
1-1
E. Salvio (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
J. Escobar (Cruz Azul) cautioned
R. Lopez (U.N.A.M.- Pumas) cautioned
Goal scored for U.N.A.M.- Pumas by C. S. Huerta Valera (pen.)
1-0
I. Rivero (Cruz Azul) cautioned
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Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Time: 11:10 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Azteca
- Tournament: Liga MX
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Pumas UNAM +200, Cruz Azul +120, draw +270
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-142/+108)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Pumas UNAM: 30.5%
- Cruz Azul: 45.9%
- Draw: 23.6%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Pumas UNAM 1-1 Cruz Azul, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Pumas UNAM is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 30.5% probability, while Cruz Azul sits at 45.9%, with the draw at 23.6%.
For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Pumas UNAM vs. Cruz Azul prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.
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