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Monterrey vs. Puebla Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Monterrey vs. Puebla at the Liga MX on October 3, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
1
:
1
Oct 4, 1AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
Puebla
Oct 4, 1AM Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PueblaPBL
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
G. Martinez (4')
Soccer ball icon
R. Funes Mori (30')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PBL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MON
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Yellow Card
S. Olmedo (Puebla) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. de los Santos replaces P. Gonzalez
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: D. Aguilar replaces K. Velasco
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Gallardo replaces J. Cortizo
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: M. Barragan replaces M. Sansores
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Puebla: L. Garcia replaces C. Baltazar
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rojas replaces M. Meza
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: E. Aguirre replaces S. Medina
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Gonzalez replaces O. Govea
45'
Yellow Card
S. Vegas (Monterrey) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
O. Govea (Monterrey) cautioned
30'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by R. Funes Mori, assisted by J. Cortizo
1-1
26'
Yellow Card
J. Cortizo (Monterrey) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Puebla by G. Martinez, assisted by B. Angulo
0-1

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Monterrey vs. Puebla: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Puebla prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Puebla
  • Date: Tuesday, October 3, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Cuauhtémoc
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey -135, Puebla +340, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-156/+128)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Monterrey: 56.1%
  • Puebla: 21.8%
  • Draw: 22.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Monterrey 1-1 Puebla, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 56.1% probability, while Puebla sits at 21.8%, with the draw at 22.1%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Puebla prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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