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Necaxa vs. Pachuca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Necaxa vs. Pachuca at the Liga MX on September 30, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Necaxa
1
:
1
Sep 30, 11PM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
Pachuca
Sep 30, 11PM Estadio Hidalgo (Pachuca de Soto)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
PachucaPAC
Score Summary
NecaxaNEC
B. Gonzalez (13')
Soccer ball icon
B. D. Castillo Segura (84')
Red Card icon
F. Arce (20')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
PAC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
NEC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: B. Samudio replaces F. Batista
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: R. Lopez replaces M. Hinestroza
84'
Red Card
B. D. Castillo Segura (Pachuca) sent off for a second yellow card
83'
Yellow Card
G. Cabral (Pachuca) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: C. Gonzalez replaces B. Garnica
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: E. Mendez replaces R. Monreal
78'
Yellow Card
L. Di Yorio (Pachuca) cautioned
75'
Yellow Card
R. Cortez (Necaxa) cautioned
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: O. Idrissi replaces B. Gonzalez
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: L. Di Yorio replaces R. de la Rosa
71'
Yellow Card
J. Cortes (Necaxa) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
B. Gonzalez (Pachuca) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: V. Poggi replaces A. Andrade
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Necaxa: R. Cortez replaces H. Jurado
61'
Yellow Card
B. Garnica (Necaxa) cautioned
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Pachuca: I. Hernandez replaces J. Lopez
54'
Yellow Card
J. A. Rodriguez Hernandez (Necaxa) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
B. D. Castillo Segura (Pachuca) cautioned
27'
Yellow Card
F. Batista (Necaxa) cautioned
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Necaxa by F. Arce, assisted by H. Jurado
1-1
13'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Pachuca by B. Gonzalez
0-1

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Necaxa vs. Pachuca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Pachuca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Necaxa vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Hidalgo
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Necaxa +425, Pachuca -160, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+105)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Necaxa: 17.5%
  • Pachuca: 60.0%
  • Draw: 22.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Necaxa 0-1 Pachuca, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Necaxa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 17.5% probability, while Pachuca sits at 60.0%, with the draw at 22.5%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Necaxa vs. Pachuca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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