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Monterrey vs. Guadalajara Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Monterrey vs. Guadalajara at the Liga MX on September 3, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LIGA MX
Monterrey
2
1
Sep 3, 11:05PM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
Guadalajara
Sep 3, 11:05PM Estadio AKRON (Zapopan)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GuadalajaraGCH
Score Summary
MonterreyMON
R. Marin (66')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (9')
Soccer ball icon
S. Canales (pen.) (36')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCH
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MON
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
E. Andrada (Monterrey) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
D. Rios (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: H. Moreno replaces J. Gallardo
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: K. Ortega replaces S. Canales
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: I. Brizuela replaces A. Mozo
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: D. Rios replaces R. Alvarado
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. Rojas replaces M. Meza
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza replaces O. Govea
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: J. Brigido replaces F. Beltran
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: P. Perez replaces C. Calderon
69'
Yellow Card
(Monterrey) cautioned
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Guadalajara Chivas by R. Marin, assisted by C. Calderon
2-1
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Monterrey: A. Avila replaces R. Funes Mori
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Guadalajara Chivas: E. Gutierrez replaces J. Padilla
43'
Yellow Card
J. Orozco (Guadalajara Chivas) cautioned
36'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales (pen.)
2-0
29'
Yellow Card
S. Vegas (Monterrey) cautioned
9'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Monterrey by S. Canales, assisted by R. Funes Mori
1-0

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Monterrey vs. Guadalajara: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Guadalajara prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Liga MX matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Monterrey vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Sunday, September 3, 2023
  • Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio AKRON
  • Tournament: Liga MX

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Monterrey +150, Guadalajara +200, draw +220
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+115/-132)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Monterrey: 39.0%
  • Guadalajara: 33.0%
  • Draw: 27.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Monterrey 1-1 Guadalajara, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Monterrey is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 39.0% probability, while Guadalajara sits at 33.0%, with the draw at 27.9%.

For full access to Liga MX predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Liga MX best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Monterrey vs. Guadalajara prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Liga MX and the latest Liga MX news.

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