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Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca at the La Liga on September 30, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Mallorca
2
:
2
Sep 30, 2:15PM Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
Rayo Vallecano
Sep 30, 2:15PM Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Rayo VallecanoRVC
Score Summary
MallorcaMCA
A. Garcia (4')
Soccer ball icon
R. Falcao (pen.) (90')
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V. Muriqi (44')
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A. Sanchez (59')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RVC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
MCA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. de Tomas (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
G. Gonzalez (Mallorca) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Ndiaye (Mallorca) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by R. Falcao (pen.)
2-2
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: M. Morlanes replaces S. Darder
83'
Yellow Card
S. Darder (Mallorca) cautioned
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Falcao replaces A. Espino
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces A. Hernandez
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: O. Mascarell replaces A. Sanchez
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: A. Ndiaye replaces A. Prats
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. de Tomas replaces S. Camello
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Valentin replaces U. Lopez
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Trejo replaces K. Perez
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by A. Sanchez, assisted by S. Darder
2-1
44'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Mallorca by V. Muriqi, assisted by A. Prats
1-1
43'
Yellow Card
U. Lopez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
12'
Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: T. Lato replaces J. Costa
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by A. Garcia, assisted by S. Camello
0-1

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Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Vallecas
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Rayo Vallecano +114, Mallorca +290, draw +210
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+152/-182)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Rayo Vallecano: 45.6%
  • Mallorca: 27.0%
  • Draw: 27.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Mallorca, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Rayo Vallecano is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 45.6% probability, while Mallorca sits at 27.0%, with the draw at 27.4%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Rayo Vallecano vs. Mallorca prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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