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Celta Vigo vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Celta Vigo vs. Alaves at the La Liga on September 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Alaves
1
:
1
Sep 28, 5PM Abanca-BalaĆ­dos (Vigo)
Celta Vigo
Sep 28, 5PM Abanca-BalaĆ­dos (Vigo)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Celta VigoRCC
Score Summary
AlavesALA
R. Marin (o.g.) (35')
Soccer ball icon
L. de la Torre (68')
Red Card icon
Samu (73')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RCC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
R. Marin (Alaves) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: R. Duarte replaces J. Lopez
79'
Yellow Card
J. Lopez (Alaves) cautioned
76'
Yellow Card
C. Perez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Dotor replaces J. Bamba
73'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by Samu, assisted by J. Lopez
1-1
69'
Yellow Card
R. Benitez (Celta Vigo) cautioned
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces I. Hagi
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: X. Alkain replaces A. Sola
68'
Red Card
L. de la Torre (Celta Vigo) sent off for a second yellow card
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Blanco replaces J. Guridi
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: R. Tapia replaces F. Beltran
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: A. Douvikas replaces I. Aspas
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: L. Rioja replaces A. Rebbach
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Celta Vigo: C. Perez replaces J. S. Larsen
52'
Yellow Card
F. Beltran (Celta Vigo) cautioned
52'
Yellow Card
I. Aspas (Celta Vigo) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Celta Vigo by R. Marin (o.g.)
0-1
15'
Yellow Card
L. de la Torre (Celta Vigo) cautioned

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Celta Vigo vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Celta Vigo vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves
  • Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023
  • Time: 1:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Abanca-BalaĆ­dos
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Celta Vigo -145, Alaves +475, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+138/-159)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Celta Vigo: 57.5%
  • Alaves: 18.0%
  • Draw: 24.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Celta Vigo 1-0 Alaves, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Celta Vigo is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 57.5% probability, while Alaves sits at 18.0%, with the draw at 24.4%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Celta Vigo vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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