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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on September 28, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
2
0
Sep 28, 7:30PM Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
Sep 28, 7:30PM Estadio El Sadar (Pamplona (Iruñea))
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
J. Arrasate (78')
C. Avila (85')
A. Griezmann (20')
R. Riquelme (81')
A. Morata (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Osasuna: Raul replaces A. Oroz
A. Fernandez (Osasuna) cautioned
A. Morata (Atl. Madrid) sent off for a second yellow card
C. Avila (Osasuna) sent off with a straight red card
A. Morata (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
S. Lino (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
A. Oroz (Osasuna) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by R. Riquelme, assisted by S. Lino
2-0
Substitution for Osasuna: R. Garcia replaces A. Budimir
Substitution for Osasuna: K. Barja replaces J. Mojica
J. Arrasate (Osasuna) sent off with a straight red card
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces M. Llorente
Substitution for Osasuna: J. Moncayola replaces P. Ibanez
Substitution for Osasuna: I. Munoz replaces L. Torro
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: C. Azpilicueta replaces N. Molina
A. Catena (Osasuna) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Griezmann
1-0
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Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid
- Date: Thursday, September 28, 2023
- Time: 3:30 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio El Sadar
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Osasuna +260, Atletico Madrid +110, draw +245
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+112/-137)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Osasuna: 26.5%
- Atletico Madrid: 46.5%
- Draw: 27.0%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Osasuna 0-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Osasuna is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 26.5% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 46.5%, with the draw at 27.0%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Osasuna vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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