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Alaves vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Alaves vs. Valencia at the La Liga on September 2, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
0
1
Sep 2, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
Alaves
Sep 2, 4:30PM Estadio de Mendizorroza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
AlavesALA
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
C. Ozkacar (o.g.) (6')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ALA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VCF
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Yellow Card
C. Benavidez (Alaves) cautioned
87'
Yellow Card
M. Diakhaby (Valencia) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Benavidez replaces A. Blanco
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: I. Hagi replaces J. Guridi
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: M. Dominguez replaces H. Duro
81'
Yellow Card
A. Guevara (Alaves) cautioned
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: N. Tenaglia replaces K. Garcia
75'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: Samu replaces A. Sedlar
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: S. Amallah replaces D. Lopez
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: A. Sola replaces X. Alkain
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: S. Canos replaces A. Almeida
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: F. Perez replaces T. Correia
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: C. Mosquera replaces C. Ozkacar
45'
Yellow Card
A. Gorosabel (Alaves) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
J. Gaya (Valencia) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
J. Guridi (Alaves) cautioned
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by C. Ozkacar (o.g.)
0-1
5'
Penalty missed by K. Garcia for Alaves

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Alaves vs. Valencia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Alaves vs. Valencia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Alaves vs. Valencia
  • Date: Saturday, September 2, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Alaves +210, Valencia +170, draw +190

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Alaves: 32.8%
  • Valencia: 37.6%
  • Draw: 29.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Alaves 1-1 Valencia, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Alaves is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.8% probability, while Valencia sits at 37.6%, with the draw at 29.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Alaves vs. Valencia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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