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Villareal vs. Sevilla Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Villareal vs. Sevilla at the La Liga on May 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
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May 11, 2:15PM Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
May 11, 2:15PM Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
A. Sorloth (30')
Y. Mosquera (84')
A. Sorloth (90')
Y. En Nesyri (pen.) (26')
Y. En Nesyri (44')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
L. Agoume (Sevilla) cautioned
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by A. Baena
2-3
S. Ramos (Sevilla) cautioned
K. Salas (Sevilla) cautioned
E. Bailly (Villarreal) cautioned
Goal scored for Villarreal by Y. Mosquera, assisted by R. Terrats
2-2
Substitution for Villarreal: E. Capoue replaces J. Cuenca
Substitution for Villarreal: J. L. Morales replaces G. Guedes
P. Reina (Villarreal) cautioned
Substitution for Sevilla: D. Lukebakio replaces L. Ocampos
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Jordan replaces Suso
L. Ocampos (Sevilla) cautioned
Substitution for Villarreal: B. Traore replaces I. Akhomach
J. Cuenca (Villarreal) cautioned
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Pedrosa replaces M. Acuna
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Terrats replaces F. Coquelin
Goal scored for Sevilla by Y. En Nesyri, assisted by J. Navas
2-1
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by J. Cuenca
1-1
Goal scored for Sevilla by Y. En Nesyri (pen.)
1-0
T. Nianzou (Sevilla) cautioned
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Villareal vs. Sevilla: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Villareal vs. Sevilla prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Villareal vs. Sevilla
- Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
- Time: 10:15 AM ET
- Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Villareal -105, Sevilla +270, draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-164/+134)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Villareal: 46.8%
- Sevilla: 29.4%
- Draw: 23.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Villareal 1-1 Sevilla, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Villareal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 46.8% probability, while Sevilla sits at 29.4%, with the draw at 23.9%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Villareal vs. Sevilla prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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