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Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas at the La Liga on February 17, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Las Palmas
0
5
Feb 17, 1PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Feb 17, 1PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
Las PalmasLPA
M. Llorente (15')
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M. Llorente (20')
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A. Correa (47')
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A. Correa (pen.) (62')
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M. Depay (87')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
LPA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Depay, assisted by R. Riquelme
0-5
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: Pejino replaces Munir El Haddadi
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: D. Sinkgraven replaces S. Cardona
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Vermeeren replaces P. Barrios
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces S. Lino
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Witsel replaces N. Molina
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. de Paul replaces Koke
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces M. Llorente
62'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Correa (pen.)
0-4
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: J. Araujo replaces Alex Suarez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Cardona replaces S. Ramirez
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: A. Moleiro replaces M. Perrone
47'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Correa, assisted by Koke
0-3
33'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
28'
Yellow Card
N. Molina (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
20'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Llorente, assisted by A. Correa
0-2
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Llorente
0-1
4'
Yellow Card
M. Perrone (Las Palmas) cautioned

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Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas
  • Date: Saturday, February 17, 2024
  • Time: 8:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -210, Las Palmas +700, draw +350
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-102/-109)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 60.4%
  • Las Palmas: 16.5%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Las Palmas, with a probability of 14%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 60.4% probability, while Las Palmas sits at 16.5%, with the draw at 23.2%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Las Palmas prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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