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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on February 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Atletico Madrid
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1
Feb 11, 5:30PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
Sevilla
Feb 11, 5:30PM Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán (Sevilla)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
SevillaSEV
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
I. Romero (15')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
SEV
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Jordan replaces D. Sow
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: A. Pedrosa replaces Y. En Nesyri
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces S. Lino
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: E. Lamela replaces I. Romero
76'
Yellow Card
Y. En Nesyri (Sevilla) cautioned
70'
Yellow Card
Suso (Sevilla) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Reinildo replaces A. Witsel
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: J. Sanchez replaces J. Navas
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Sevilla: Suso replaces O. Torres
60'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces Koke
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Depay replaces A. Morata
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces P. Barrios
26'
Yellow Card
A. Witsel (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
15'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Sevilla by I. Romero, assisted by L. Ocampos
0-1

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Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Sunday, February 11, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Sevilla +280, Atletico Madrid +104, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-122/+102)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Sevilla: 27.9%
  • Atletico Madrid: 46.9%
  • Draw: 25.1%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Sevilla 1-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Sevilla is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 27.9% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 46.9%, with the draw at 25.1%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Sevilla vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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