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Las Palmas vs. Real Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Las Palmas vs. Real Madrid at the La Liga on January 27, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Real Madrid
2
1
Jan 27, 3:15PM Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria)
Las Palmas
Jan 27, 3:15PM Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas de Gran Canaria)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Las PalmasLPA
Score Summary
Real MadridRMA
Javier Munoz (53')
Soccer ball icon
Vinicius Junior (65')
Soccer ball icon
A. Tchouameni (84')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LPA
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
RMA
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Mendy replaces Vinicius Junior
90'
Yellow Card
M. Perrone (Las Palmas) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
F. Mendy (Real Madrid) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: S. Kaba replaces Javier Munoz
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by A. Tchouameni, assisted by T. Kroos
2-1
82'
Yellow Card
Javier Munoz (Las Palmas) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Tchouameni replaces E. Camavinga
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Guler replaces Rodrygo
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: Pejino replaces Munir El Haddadi
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: M. Cardona replaces S. Ramirez
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: J. Herzog replaces Marvin
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Las Palmas: E. Loiodice replaces A. Moleiro
65'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by E. Camavinga
1-1
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Valverde replaces D. Ceballos
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces B. Diaz
55'
Yellow Card
K. Rodriguez (Las Palmas) cautioned
53'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Las Palmas by Javier Munoz, assisted by S. Ramirez
0-1
5'
Yellow Card
Rodrygo (Real Madrid) cautioned

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Las Palmas vs. Real Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Las Palmas vs. Real Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Las Palmas vs. Real Madrid
  • Date: Saturday, January 27, 2024
  • Time: 10:15 AM ET
  • Venue: Estadio de Gran Canaria
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Las Palmas +650, Real Madrid -210, draw +390
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+136)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Las Palmas: 18.1%
  • Real Madrid: 59.7%
  • Draw: 22.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Las Palmas 0-1 Real Madrid, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Las Palmas is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 18.1% probability, while Real Madrid sits at 59.7%, with the draw at 22.2%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Las Palmas vs. Real Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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