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Barcelona vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Barcelona vs. Villareal at the La Liga on January 27, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
5
3
Jan 27, 5:30PM Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
Barcelona
Jan 27, 5:30PM Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys (Barcelona)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BarcelonaFCB
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
I. Gundogan (60')
Soccer ball icon
Pedri (68')
Soccer ball icon
E. Bailly (o.g.) (71')
Soccer ball icon
G. Moreno (41')
Soccer ball icon
I. Akhomach (54')
Soccer ball icon
G. Guedes (84')
Soccer ball icon
A. Sorloth (90')
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J. L. Morales (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
FCB
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
J. Cuenca (Villarreal) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth
4-3
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by J. L. Morales, assisted by G. Guedes
5-3
89'
Yellow Card
Y. Mosquera (Villarreal) cautioned
89'
Yellow Card
R. Araujo (Barcelona) cautioned
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Guedes, assisted by A. Sorloth
3-3
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: J. L. Morales replaces G. Moreno
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: Y. Mosquera replaces Kiko
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Vitor Roque replaces R. Lewandowski
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: E. Capoue replaces A. Baena
71'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Mandi replaces A. Moreno
71'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by E. Bailly (o.g.)
2-3
70'
Yellow Card
Xavi (Barcelona) cautioned
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by Pedri, assisted by I. Gundogan
2-2
68'
Yellow Card
R. Lewandowski (Barcelona) cautioned
68'
Yellow Card
E. Bailly (Villarreal) cautioned
60'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Barcelona by I. Gundogan, assisted by R. Lewandowski
2-1
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: G. Guedes replaces I. Akhomach
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: F. Torres replaces Joao Felix
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by I. Akhomach
2-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: Pedri replaces O. Romeu
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: P. Cubarsi replaces A. Christensen
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Barcelona: J. Cancelo replaces H. Fort
41'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno, assisted by A. Sorloth
1-0
33'
Yellow Card
O. Romeu (Barcelona) cautioned
22'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - Foul
18'
Yellow Card
Marcelino (Villarreal) cautioned
16'
Yellow Card
A. Baena (Villarreal) cautioned

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Barcelona vs. Villareal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Barcelona vs. Villareal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Barcelona vs. Villareal
  • Date: Saturday, January 27, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Barcelona -250, Villareal +600, draw +460

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Barcelona: 65.5%
  • Villareal: 15.9%
  • Draw: 18.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Barcelona 2-1 Villareal, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Barcelona is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 65.5% probability, while Villareal sits at 15.9%, with the draw at 18.5%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Barcelona vs. Villareal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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