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Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia at the La Liga on January 28, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
Valencia
0
2
Jan 28, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Atletico Madrid
Jan 28, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Atletico MadridATM
Score Summary
ValenciaVCF
S. Lino (45')
Soccer ball icon
M. Depay (57')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ATM
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VCF
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: H. Gonzalez replaces D. Lopez
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: A. Mari replaces H. Duro
83'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Niguez replaces P. Barrios
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: J. Vazquez replaces H. Guillamon
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: C. Ozkacar replaces Gabriel Paulista
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. Riquelme replaces S. Lino
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Morata replaces M. Depay
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: M. Llorente replaces R. de Paul
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Witsel replaces J. M. Gimenez
57'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Depay, assisted by N. Molina
0-2
55'
Substitution
Substitution for Valencia: R. Yaremchuk replaces F. Perez
49'
Yellow Card
N. Molina (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by S. Lino, assisted by A. Griezmann
0-1

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Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia
  • Date: Sunday, January 28, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -175, Valencia +550, draw +300
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-102/-120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Atletico Madrid: 57.7%
  • Valencia: 18.7%
  • Draw: 23.6%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Valencia, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 57.7% probability, while Valencia sits at 18.7%, with the draw at 23.6%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Valencia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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