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Granada vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Granada vs. Atletico Madrid at the La Liga on January 22, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Atletico Madrid
1
0
Jan 22, 8PM Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)
Granada
Jan 22, 8PM Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
GranadaGCF
Score Summary
Atletico MadridATM
(90')
Red Card icon
A. Morata (55')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
GCF
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
ATM
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Red Card
(Granada CF) sent off with a straight red card
90'
Yellow Card
A. Batalla (Granada CF) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: A. Puertas replaces R. Sanchez
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: J. Callejon replaces B. Zaragoza
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: J. M. Gimenez replaces P. Barrios
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: O. Melendo replaces G. Gumbau
78'
Yellow Card
L. Boye (Granada CF) cautioned
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Correa replaces A. Morata
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces S. Niguez
76'
Yellow Card
S. Savic (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
72'
Yellow Card
S. Niguez (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Granada CF: M. Arezo replaces M. Uzuni
62'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
55'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by A. Morata, assisted by A. Griezmann
1-0
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. de Paul replaces M. Llorente
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Lino replaces R. Riquelme

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Granada vs. Atletico Madrid: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Granada vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Granada vs. Atletico Madrid
  • Date: Monday, January 22, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Granada +430, Atletico Madrid -155, draw +310
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-136/+120)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Granada: 22.0%
  • Atletico Madrid: 54.8%
  • Draw: 23.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Granada 1-1 Atletico Madrid, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Granada is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 22.0% probability, while Atletico Madrid sits at 54.8%, with the draw at 23.2%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Granada vs. Atletico Madrid prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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