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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad at the La Liga on January 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
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Jan 13, 5:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
Jan 13, 5:30PM San Mamés Barria (Bilbao)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
A. Berenguer (30')
A. Berenguer (42')
M. Oyarzabal (87')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Merino (Real Sociedad) cautioned
R. Le Normand (Real Sociedad) cautioned
U. Gomez (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
A. Elustondo (Real Sociedad) cautioned
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Oyarzabal, assisted by A. Munoz
1-2
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Muniain replaces A. Berenguer
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Ares replaces N. Williams
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. A. Olasagasti replaces B. Mendez
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces K. Tierney
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Villalibre replaces G. Guruzeta
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Herrera replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces O. Sancet
Substitution for Real Sociedad: J. Magunazelaia Argoitia replaces A. Barrenetxea
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Dadie Izagirre replaces A. Zakharyan
A. Barrenetxea (Real Sociedad) cautioned
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Berenguer
0-2
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by A. Berenguer
0-1
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Elustondo replaces A. Odriozola
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Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad
- Date: Saturday, January 13, 2024
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: San Mamés Barria
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Athletic Bilbao +110, Real Sociedad +310, draw +210
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+158/-186)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Athletic Bilbao: 44.1%
- Real Sociedad: 27.1%
- Draw: 28.8%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Real Sociedad, with a probability of 14%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Athletic Bilbao is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.1% probability, while Real Sociedad sits at 27.1%, with the draw at 28.8%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Athletic Bilbao vs. Real Sociedad prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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