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Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano at the La Liga on January 31, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
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LA LIGA
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Jan 31, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
Jan 31, 8PM Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Reinildo (35')
M. Depay (90')
A. Garcia (42')
Francisco (90')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by M. Depay, assisted by A. Griezmann
1-2
Francisco (Rayo Vallecano) sent off with a straight red card
D. Simeone (Atl. Madrid) cautioned
P. Chavarria (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: R. Falcao replaces S. Camello
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: O. Trejo replaces A. Garcia
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: J. de Frutos replaces I. Palazon
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: Koke replaces S. Niguez
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: M. Crespo replaces K. Perez
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: I. Balliu replaces A. Ratiu
I. Palazon (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: A. Griezmann replaces A. Correa
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: S. Lino replaces R. Riquelme
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: R. de Paul replaces M. Llorente
Substitution for Atl. Madrid: N. Molina replaces A. Vermeeren
Goal scored for Rayo Vallecano by A. Garcia, assisted by P. Chavarria
1-1
K. Perez (Rayo Vallecano) cautioned
Goal scored for Atl. Madrid by Reinildo, assisted by R. Riquelme
0-1
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Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano
- Date: Wednesday, January 31, 2024
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estádio Cívitas Metropolitano
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Atletico Madrid -160, Rayo Vallecano +500, draw +285
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+102/-120)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Atletico Madrid: 59.1%
- Rayo Vallecano: 17.7%
- Draw: 23.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Atletico Madrid 1-0 Rayo Vallecano, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Atletico Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 59.1% probability, while Rayo Vallecano sits at 17.7%, with the draw at 23.3%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Atletico Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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