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Real Sociedad vs. Alaves Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Real Sociedad vs. Alaves at the La Liga on January 2, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Alaves
1
:
1
Jan 2, 6:15PM Reale Arena (Donostia-San Sebastián)
Real Sociedad
Jan 2, 6:15PM Reale Arena (Donostia-San Sebastián)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real SociedadRSO
Score Summary
AlavesALA
A. Remiro (36')
Red Card icon
M. Zubimendi (90')
Soccer ball icon
L. Rioja (pen.) (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RSO
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
ALA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Munoz replaces K. Tierney
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Zakharyan replaces T. Kubo
90'
Yellow Card
K. Garcia (Alaves) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: X. Alkain replaces L. Rioja
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Sociedad by M. Zubimendi, assisted by M. Merino
1-1
89'
Yellow Card
A. Sivera (Alaves) cautioned
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: A. Barrenetxea replaces M. Oyarzabal
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: U. Sadiq replaces B. Mendez
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Alaves by L. Rioja (pen.)
1-0
74'
Yellow Card
H. Traore (Real Sociedad) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: G. Simeone replaces S. Omorodion
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Benavidez replaces J. Guridi
59'
Yellow Card
S. Omorodion (Alaves) cautioned
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: C. Vicente replaces A. Blanco
57'
Substitution
Substitution for Alaves: K. Garcia replaces A. Rebbach
50'
Yellow Card
A. Rebbach (Alaves) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
I. Zubeldia (Real Sociedad) cautioned
39'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Sociedad: U. Marrero replaces Andre Silva
36'
Red Card
A. Remiro (Real Sociedad) sent off with a straight red card

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Real Sociedad vs. Alaves: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Real Sociedad vs. Alaves prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Sociedad vs. Alaves
  • Date: Tuesday, January 2, 2024
  • Time: 1:15 PM ET
  • Venue: Reale Arena
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Sociedad -190, Alaves +700, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (+135/-162)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Sociedad: 60.5%
  • Alaves: 15.5%
  • Draw: 24.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Sociedad 1-0 Alaves, with a probability of 16%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Real Sociedad is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 60.5% probability, while Alaves sits at 15.5%, with the draw at 24.0%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Real Sociedad vs. Alaves prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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