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Real Madrid vs. Villareal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Villareal at the La Liga on December 17, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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LA LIGA
Villareal
1
4
Dec 17, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Real Madrid
Dec 17, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Real MadridRMA
Score Summary
VillarealVIL
J. Bellingham (25')
Soccer ball icon
Rodrygo (37')
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B. Diaz (64')
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L. Modric (68')
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J. L. Morales (54')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
RMA
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
85'
Yellow Card
E. Capoue (Villarreal) cautioned
84'
Yellow Card
A. Tchouameni (Real Madrid) cautioned
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces B. Diaz
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: A. Tchouameni replaces T. Kroos
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: B. Brereton Diaz replaces J. L. Morales
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: D. Ceballos replaces J. Bellingham
74'
Yellow Card
I. Akhomach (Villarreal) cautioned
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: M. Trigueros replaces I. Akhomach
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by L. Modric
1-4
67'
Yellow Card
J. Bellingham (Real Madrid) cautioned
67'
Yellow Card
A. Altimira (Villarreal) cautioned
64'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by B. Diaz, assisted by F. Garcia
1-3
54'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Villarreal by J. L. Morales, assisted by R. Terrats
1-2
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: J. Cuenca replaces R. Albiol
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Sorloth replaces G. Moreno
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by Lucas
0-2
35'
Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: N. Fernandez replaces D. Alaba
29'
Substitution
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Terrats replaces A. Baena
25'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Real Madrid by J. Bellingham, assisted by L. Modric
0-1

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Real Madrid vs. Villareal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Villareal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Real Madrid vs. Villareal
  • Date: Sunday, December 17, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
  • Tournament: La Liga

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Real Madrid -435, Villareal +1100, draw +600

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Real Madrid: 70.6%
  • Villareal: 12.5%
  • Draw: 16.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Madrid 2-0 Villareal, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 70.6% probability, while Villareal sits at 12.5%, with the draw at 16.8%.

For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Villareal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.

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