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Real Madrid vs. Valencia Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Real Madrid vs. Valencia at the La Liga on November 11, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
1
5
Nov 11, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
Nov 11, 8PM Estadio Santiago Bernabéu (Madrid)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
D. Carvajal (3')
Vinicius Junior (42')
Vinicius Junior (49')
Rodrygo (50')
Rodrygo (84')
H. Duro (88')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Valencia by H. Duro, assisted by H. Gonzalez
1-5
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo, assisted by F. Garcia
0-5
Substitution for Real Madrid: Joselu replaces Vinicius Junior
Substitution for Real Madrid: N. Paz replaces D. Carvajal
Substitution for Real Madrid: Lucas replaces B. Diaz
Substitution for Real Madrid: F. Garcia replaces F. Mendy
Substitution for Valencia: H. Gonzalez replaces F. Perez
Substitution for Valencia: R. Yaremchuk replaces Pepelu
Gabriel Paulista (Valencia) cautioned
Substitution for Valencia: H. Guillamon replaces S. Canos
E. Camavinga (Real Madrid) cautioned
Substitution for Real Madrid: L. Modric replaces F. Valverde
D. Foulquier (Valencia) cautioned
Substitution for Valencia: D. Foulquier replaces T. Correia
Substitution for Valencia: Y. Gasiorowski replaces J. Gaya
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Rodrygo
0-4
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by Rodrygo
0-3
Goal scored for Real Madrid by Vinicius Junior, assisted by Rodrygo
0-2
Pepelu (Valencia) cautioned
Goal scored for Real Madrid by D. Carvajal, assisted by T. Kroos
0-1
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Real Madrid vs. Valencia: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Valencia prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Real Madrid vs. Valencia
- Date: Saturday, November 11, 2023
- Time: 3:00 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Real Madrid -300, Valencia +850, draw +475
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-157/+140)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Real Madrid: 65.3%
- Valencia: 14.6%
- Draw: 20.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Real Madrid 2-0 Valencia, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Real Madrid is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 65.3% probability, while Valencia sits at 14.6%, with the draw at 20.1%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Real Madrid vs. Valencia prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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