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Villareal vs. Athletic Bilbao Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Villareal vs. Athletic Bilbao at the La Liga on November 5, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
LA LIGA
FINAL
LA LIGA
3
2
Nov 5, 5:30PM Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
Nov 5, 5:30PM Estadio de la Cerámica (Villarreal)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
G. Moreno (86')
A. Sorloth (87')
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (2')
N. Williams (22')
I. Williams (30')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
I. Ruiz de Galarreta (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
D. Garcia (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Goal scored for Villarreal by A. Sorloth, assisted by G. Moreno
3-2
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Villalibre replaces I. Williams
Goal scored for Villarreal by G. Moreno, assisted by E. Capoue
3-1
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: I. Muniain replaces O. Sancet
Substitution for Villarreal: J. Pascual replaces I. Akhomach
Kiko (Villarreal) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: D. Garcia replaces I. Ruiz de Galarreta
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: U. Gomez replaces N. Williams
A. Mandi (Villarreal) cautioned
R. Albiol (Villarreal) cautioned
Substitution for Ath Bilbao: A. Berenguer replaces G. Guruzeta
Substitution for Villarreal: Kiko replaces A. Altimira
Substitution for Villarreal: R. Terrats replaces D. Parejo
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Moreno replaces C. Romero
Substitution for Villarreal: A. Mandi replaces M. Gabbia
O. de Marcos (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
N. Williams (Ath Bilbao) cautioned
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Williams, assisted by O. Sancet
3-0
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by N. Williams, assisted by O. Sancet
2-0
M. Gabbia (Villarreal) cautioned
Goal scored for Ath Bilbao by I. Ruiz de Galarreta, assisted by N. Williams
1-0
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Villareal vs. Athletic Bilbao: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Villareal vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all La Liga matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Villareal vs. Athletic Bilbao
- Date: Sunday, November 5, 2023
- Time: 12:30 PM ET
- Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica
- Tournament: La Liga
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Villareal +260, Athletic Bilbao +104, draw +280
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-139/+122)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Villareal: 32.4%
- Athletic Bilbao: 42.5%
- Draw: 25.1%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Villareal 1-1 Athletic Bilbao, with a probability of 12%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Villareal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 32.4% probability, while Athletic Bilbao sits at 42.5%, with the draw at 25.1%.
For full access to La Liga predictions, probabilities, and tools such as La Liga best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Villareal vs. Athletic Bilbao prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the La Liga and the latest La Liga news.
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