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Burnley vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Burnley vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on October 7, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
1
Oct 7, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Oct 7, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
W. Odobert (15')
A. Al Dakhil (o.g.) (42')
C. Palmer (pen.) (49')
R. Sterling (65')
N. Jackson (75')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Chelsea: I. Maatsen replaces C. Palmer
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Mudryk replaces R. Sterling
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces W. Odobert
Goal scored for Chelsea by N. Jackson, assisted by C. Palmer
4-1
M. Caicedo (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by R. Sterling, assisted by C. Gallagher
3-1
Substitution for Burnley: C. Roberts replaces Vitinho
Substitution for Burnley: L. Koleosho replaces M. Tresor Ndayishimiye
Substitution for Burnley: A. Ramsey replaces J. Cullen
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
2-1
Substitution for Burnley: D. O'Shea replaces A. Al Dakhil
Substitution for Chelsea: N. Jackson replaces A. Broja
T. Silva (Chelsea) cautioned
M. Pochettino (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by A. Al Dakhil (o.g.)
1-1
W. Odobert (Burnley) cautioned
J. Cullen (Burnley) cautioned
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
Goal scored for Burnley by W. Odobert, assisted by L. Foster
0-1
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Burnley vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Burnley vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Chelsea
- Date: Saturday, October 7, 2023
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +425, Chelsea -145, draw +310
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-120/+100)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Burnley: 20.7%
- Chelsea: 56.6%
- Draw: 22.7%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Burnley 1-1 Chelsea, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Burnley is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.7% probability, while Chelsea sits at 56.6%, with the draw at 22.7%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Burnley vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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