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Newcastle vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Burnley at the Premier League on September 30, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Burnley
0
2
Sep 30, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Sep 30, 2PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
BurnleyBUR
M. Almiron (14')
Soccer ball icon
A. Isak (pen.) (76')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
BUR
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces M. Almiron
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: V. Livramento replaces A. Isak
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Vitinho replaces C. Roberts
88'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: A. Zaroury replaces S. Berge
76'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak (pen.)
0-2
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: S. Tonali replaces Joelinton
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: W. Odobert replaces A. Ramsey
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces E. Anderson
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces L. Koleosho
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces Z. Amdouni
53'
Yellow Card
C. Taylor (Burnley) cautioned
40'
Yellow Card
J. Beyer (Burnley) cautioned
29'
Yellow Card
Z. Amdouni (Burnley) cautioned
18'
Yellow Card
A. Gordon (Newcastle) cautioned
14'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by M. Almiron, assisted by K. Trippier
0-1

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Newcastle vs. Burnley: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Burnley prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Burnley
  • Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle -275, Burnley +900, draw +450
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+137)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Newcastle: 72.9%
  • Burnley: 10.2%
  • Draw: 17.0%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Newcastle 2-0 Burnley, with a probability of 13%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 72.9% probability, while Burnley sits at 10.2%, with the draw at 17.0%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Burnley prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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