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Burnley vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Burnley vs. Newcastle at the Premier League on May 4, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
4
1
May 4, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
May 4, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
D. O'Shea (86')
C. Wilson (19')
S. Longstaff (35')
B. Guimaraes (40')
A. Isak (55')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Goal scored for Burnley by D. O'Shea, assisted by J. B. Gudmundsson
4-1
Substitution for Burnley: Z. Amdouni replaces J. Brownhill
Substitution for Burnley: D. D. Fofana replaces L. Foster
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Ritchie replaces A. Gordon
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces S. Longstaff
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Almiron replaces A. Isak
E. Anderson (Newcastle) cautioned
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces C. Wilson
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Anderson replaces J. Murphy
Substitution for Burnley: J. B. Gudmundsson replaces J. Bruun Larsen
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak, assisted by J. Murphy
4-0
Penalty missed by A. Isak for Newcastle
J. Brownhill (Burnley) cautioned
Substitution for Burnley: H. Ekdal replaces M. Esteve
Goal scored for Newcastle by B. Guimaraes, assisted by A. Gordon
3-0
M. Esteve (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Longstaff, assisted by J. Murphy
2-0
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson
1-0
C. Wilson (Newcastle) cautioned
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Burnley vs. Newcastle: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Burnley vs. Newcastle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Newcastle
- Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +250, Newcastle -103, draw +320
Dimers' win probabilities
- Burnley: 24.5%
- Newcastle: 54.0%
- Draw: 21.5%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Burnley 1-2 Newcastle, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Burnley is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.5% probability, while Newcastle sits at 54.0%, with the draw at 21.5%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Burnley vs. Newcastle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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