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Burnley vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Burnley vs. Newcastle Premier League game on May 4, 2024 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
4
1
May 4, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
May 4, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
D. O'Shea (86')
C. Wilson (19')
S. Longstaff (35')
B. Guimaraes (40')
A. Isak (55')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
86'
Goal scored for Burnley by D. O'Shea, assisted by J. B. Gudmundsson
4-1
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: Z. Amdouni replaces J. Brownhill
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: D. D. Fofana replaces L. Foster
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Ritchie replaces A. Gordon
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: Joelinton replaces S. Longstaff
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: M. Almiron replaces A. Isak
72'
Yellow Card
E. Anderson (Newcastle) cautioned
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces C. Wilson
68'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: E. Anderson replaces J. Murphy
62'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. B. Gudmundsson replaces J. Bruun Larsen
55'
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak, assisted by J. Murphy
4-0
52'
Penalty missed by A. Isak for Newcastle
51'
Yellow Card
J. Brownhill (Burnley) cautioned
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: H. Ekdal replaces M. Esteve
40'
Goal scored for Newcastle by B. Guimaraes, assisted by A. Gordon
3-0
37'
Yellow Card
M. Esteve (Burnley) cautioned
35'
Goal scored for Newcastle by S. Longstaff, assisted by J. Murphy
2-0
19'
Goal scored for Newcastle by C. Wilson
1-0
18'
Yellow Card
C. Wilson (Newcastle) cautioned
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Burnley vs. Newcastle: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor

Current Betting Odds

  • Moneyline Odds: Burnley +240, Newcastle -105, Draw +310

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Burnley: 24.5%
  • Newcastle: 54.0%
  • Draw: 21.5%

Dimers.com's predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our most likely correct score for this Premier League game is Burnley 1-2 Newcastle, which has a correct score probability of 10%.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations. In some cases, a team can have a higher overall probability of winning, yet the most likely specific outcome (correct score) is a draw.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives Burnley a win probability of 24.5%, while Newcastle has a win probability of 54.0%. The chance of a draw is 21.5%.

Summary

Our Burnley vs. Newcastle predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert Premier League predictions and the best Premier League bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes Premier League futures, Premier League odds, and the latest Premier League news.

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