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Burnley vs. Brighton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Burnley vs. Brighton at the Premier League on April 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Brighton
1
:
1
Apr 13, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Burnley
Apr 13, 2PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
BurnleyBUR
Score Summary
BrightonBHA
J. Brownhill (75')
Soccer ball icon
A. Muric (o.g.) (79')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
BUR
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
BHA
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: M. O'Mahony replaces Joao Pedro
90'
Yellow Card
J. Veltman (Brighton) cautioned
90'
Yellow Card
M. O'Mahony (Brighton) cautioned
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: M. Tresor Ndayishimiye replaces J. Bruun Larsen
79'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brighton by A. Muric (o.g.)
1-1
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: A. Fati replaces J. Moder
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: F. Buonanotte replaces D. Welbeck
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: A. Lallana replaces S. Adingra
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Brownhill
0-1
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Brownhill replaces H. Ekdal
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces D. D. Fofana
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Burnley: C. Taylor replaces Vitinho
28'
Yellow Card
J. Cullen (Burnley) cautioned
13'
Substitution
Substitution for Brighton: Igor replaces P. Estupinan

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Burnley vs. Brighton: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Burnley vs. Brighton prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Burnley vs. Brighton
  • Date: Saturday, April 13, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Turf Moor
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Burnley +290, Brighton -110, draw +290
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-185/+130)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Burnley: 28.5%
  • Brighton: 48.2%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Burnley 1-1 Brighton, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Burnley is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 28.5% probability, while Brighton sits at 48.2%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Burnley vs. Brighton prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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