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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Arsenal vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on April 14, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
2
0
Apr 14, 3:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Apr 14, 3:30PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
L. Bailey (84')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (87')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
87'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Y. Tielemans
2-0
87'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces O. Zinchenko
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey, assisted by L. Digne
1-0
80'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces N. Zaniolo
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Smith Rowe replaces M. Odegaard
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: Jorginho replaces Gabriel Jesus
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: T. Tomiyasu replaces B. White
67'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: G. Martinelli replaces L. Trossard
63'
Yellow Card
K. Havertz (Arsenal) cautioned
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Bailey replaces M. Diaby
45'
Yellow Card
Gabriel (Arsenal) cautioned
36'
Yellow Card
B. White (Arsenal) cautioned
14'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Arsenal vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Sunday, April 14, 2024
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -375, Aston Villa +1050, draw +575

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Arsenal: 76.0%
  • Aston Villa: 8.8%
  • Draw: 15.2%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Arsenal 2-0 Aston Villa, with a probability of 12%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 76.0% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 8.8%, with the draw at 15.2%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

Bet responsibly and within your limits. For support, see our responsible gambling resources.

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