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Aston Villa vs. Brentford Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Brentford at the Premier League on April 6, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Brentford
3
:
3
Apr 6, 2PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Apr 6, 2PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
BrentfordBRE
O. Watkins (39')
Soccer ball icon
M. Rogers (46')
Soccer ball icon
O. Watkins (81')
Soccer ball icon
Zanka (59')
Soccer ball icon
B. Mbeumo (61')
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Y. Wissa (68')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
BRE
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces L. Bailey
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces Y. Tielemans
90'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
Diego Carlos (Aston Villa) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: N. Maupay replaces B. Mbeumo
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: F. Onyeka replaces M. Jensen
81'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by L. Bailey
3-3
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: I. Toney replaces M. Damsgaard
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: Y. Yarmolyuk replaces Y. Wissa
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Brentford: K. Lewis-Potter replaces S. Reguilon
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces M. Rogers
68'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by Y. Wissa, assisted by S. Reguilon
3-2
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by B. Mbeumo, assisted by S. Reguilon
2-2
59'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Brentford by Zanka, assisted by M. Damsgaard
1-2
53'
Yellow Card
Y. Wissa (Brentford) cautioned
46'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by M. Rogers, assisted by Y. Tielemans
0-2
42'
Yellow Card
M. Damsgaard (Brentford) cautioned
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by J. McGinn
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Brentford: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Brentford prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Brentford
  • Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -160, Brentford +450, draw +320
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-165/+139)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 57.9%
  • Brentford: 20.4%
  • Draw: 21.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Brentford, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 57.9% probability, while Brentford sits at 20.4%, with the draw at 21.7%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Brentford prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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