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Chelsea vs. Burnley Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Burnley at the Premier League on March 30, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
:
2
Mar 30, 3PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Mar 30, 3PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
C. Palmer (pen.) (44')
C. Palmer (78')
L. Assignon (40')
V. Kompany (43')
J. Cullen (47')
D. O'Shea (81')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
M. Esteve (Burnley) cautioned
Substitution for Chelsea: A. Gilchrist replaces M. Gusto
Goal scored for Burnley by D. O'Shea, assisted by J. Cullen
2-2
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer, assisted by R. Sterling
1-2
Substitution for Chelsea: R. Sterling replaces M. Caicedo
Substitution for Burnley: J. B. Gudmundsson replaces W. Odobert
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces L. Foster
Substitution for Chelsea: N. Madueke replaces C. Gallagher
Goal scored for Burnley by J. Cullen, assisted by J. Brownhill
1-1
Substitution for Burnley: J. Brownhill replaces J. Bruun Larsen
Substitution for Burnley: C. Taylor replaces Z. Amdouni
C. Gallagher (Chelsea) cautioned
J. Cullen (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
0-1
V. Kompany (Burnley) sent off with a straight red card
L. Assignon (Burnley) sent off for a second yellow card
M. Cucurella (Chelsea) cautioned
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
L. Assignon (Burnley) cautioned
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Chelsea vs. Burnley: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Chelsea vs. Burnley prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Chelsea vs. Burnley
- Date: Saturday, March 30, 2024
- Time: 11:00 AM ET
- Venue: Stamford Bridge
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Chelsea -375, Burnley +1000, draw +550
Dimers' win probabilities
- Chelsea: 73.6%
- Burnley: 10.5%
- Draw: 15.9%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 2-0 Burnley, with a probability of 11%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 73.6% probability, while Burnley sits at 10.5%, with the draw at 15.9%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Chelsea vs. Burnley prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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