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Aston Villa vs. Everton Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Everton at the Premier League on August 20, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Everton
0
4
Aug 20, 1PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Aug 20, 1PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
EvertonEVE
J. McGinn (18')
Soccer ball icon
Douglas Luiz (pen.) (24')
Soccer ball icon
L. Bailey (51')
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J. Duran (75')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
EVE
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Everton: T. Onyango replaces A. Doucoure
89'
Yellow Card
C. Archer (Aston Villa) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
N. Patterson (Everton) cautioned
85'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Archer replaces Coutinho
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. Duran
0-4
74'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Duran replaces O. Watkins
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Coutinho replaces Douglas Luiz
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Diego Carlos replaces M. Diaby
63'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces L. Bailey
51'
Substitution
Substitution for Everton: N. Maupay replaces A. Iwobi
51'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey
0-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Everton: L. Dobbin replaces I. Gueye
45'
Yellow Card
M. Keane (Everton) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
I. Gueye (Everton) cautioned
38'
Substitution
Substitution for Everton: A. Danjuma replaces D. Calvert-Lewin
33'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
24'
Yellow Card
J. Pickford (Everton) cautioned
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz (pen.)
0-2
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. McGinn, assisted by L. Bailey
0-1
14'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned

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Aston Villa vs. Everton: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Everton prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Everton
  • Date: Sunday, August 20, 2023
  • Time: 9:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -125, Everton +370, draw +280
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-125/+106)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 50.3%
  • Everton: 26.0%
  • Draw: 23.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Everton, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 50.3% probability, while Everton sits at 26.0%, with the draw at 23.7%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Everton prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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