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Luton Town vs. Aston Villa Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Luton Town vs. Aston Villa at the Premier League on March 2, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
3
2
Mar 2, 5:30PM Kenilworth Road (Luton, Bedfordshire)
Luton Town
Mar 2, 5:30PM Kenilworth Road (Luton, Bedfordshire)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Luton TownLUTN
Score Summary
Aston VillaVIL
T. Chong (66')
Soccer ball icon
C. Morris (72')
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O. Watkins (24')
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O. Watkins (38')
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L. Digne (89')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
LUTN
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
VIL
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
N. Zaniolo (Aston Villa) cautioned
89'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Digne, assisted by M. Diaby
3-2
84'
Substitution
Substitution for Luton: P. Mpanzu replaces T. Chong
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces A. Moreno
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces L. Bailey
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: T. Iroegbunam replaces M. Rogers
79'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces Y. Tielemans
72'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Luton by C. Morris, assisted by A. Doughty
2-2
66'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Luton by T. Chong, assisted by R. Burke
2-1
53'
Substitution
Substitution for Luton: D. Hashioka replaces A. Townsend
50'
Yellow Card
M. Rogers (Aston Villa) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
L. Bailey (Aston Villa) cautioned
38'
Yellow Card
R. Burke (Luton) cautioned
38'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by Douglas Luiz
2-0
29'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Rogers replaces J. Ramsey
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by L. Bailey
1-0
6'
Substitution
Substitution for Luton: C. Ogbene replaces A. Bell

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Luton Town vs. Aston Villa: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Luton Town vs. Aston Villa prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Luton Town vs. Aston Villa
  • Date: Saturday, March 2, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Kenilworth Road
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Luton Town +370, Aston Villa -140, draw +350

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Luton Town: 21.4%
  • Aston Villa: 57.2%
  • Draw: 21.4%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Luton Town 1-2 Aston Villa, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Luton Town is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 21.4% probability, while Aston Villa sits at 57.2%, with the draw at 21.4%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Luton Town vs. Aston Villa prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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