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Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest at the Premier League on February 24, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Nottingham Forest
2
4
Feb 24, 3PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Feb 24, 3PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
Nottingham ForestNOF
O. Watkins (4')
Soccer ball icon
Douglas Luiz (29')
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Douglas Luiz (39')
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L. Bailey (61')
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M. Niakhate (45')
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M. Gibbs-White (48')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NOF
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces L. Bailey
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Rogers replaces O. Watkins
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: G. Reyna replaces M. Gibbs-White
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces Y. Tielemans
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: R. Yates replaces N. Dominguez
61'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by L. Bailey
2-4
59'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces A. Moreno
57'
Yellow Card
A. Moreno (Aston Villa) cautioned
48'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nottingham by M. Gibbs-White, assisted by D. Origi
2-3
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: C. Chambers replaces P. Torres
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: H. Toffolo replaces Murillo
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: D. Origi replaces Felipe
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham: A. Omobamidele replaces T. Awoniyi
45'
Yellow Card
Felipe (Nottingham) cautioned
45'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Nottingham by M. Niakhate, assisted by T. Awoniyi
1-3
39'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz, assisted by J. McGinn
0-3
29'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz, assisted by J. Ramsey
0-2
15'
Yellow Card
Murillo (Nottingham) cautioned
4'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by O. Watkins, assisted by L. Bailey
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest
  • Date: Saturday, February 24, 2024
  • Time: 10:00 AM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa -167, Nottingham Forest +460, draw +350

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 64.8%
  • Nottingham Forest: 15.3%
  • Draw: 19.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 2-0 Nottingham Forest, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 64.8% probability, while Nottingham Forest sits at 15.3%, with the draw at 19.9%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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