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Arsenal vs. Newcastle Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Arsenal vs. Newcastle at the Premier League on February 24, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Newcastle
1
4
Feb 24, 8PM Emirates Stadium (London)
Arsenal
Feb 24, 8PM Emirates Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ArsenalARS
Score Summary
NewcastleNEW
S. Botman (o.g.) (18')
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K. Havertz (24')
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B. Saka (65')
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J. Kiwior (69')
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J. Willock (84')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
ARS
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
NEW
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
89'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: M. Elneny replaces Jorginho
84'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by J. Willock, assisted by D. Burn
1-4
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Smith Rowe replaces M. Odegaard
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces B. Saka
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces K. Havertz
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Willock replaces B. Guimaraes
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: D. Burn replaces V. Livramento
73'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Lascelles replaces S. Botman
69'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by J. Kiwior, assisted by D. Rice
0-4
65'
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Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka, assisted by K. Havertz
0-3
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: J. Murphy replaces M. Almiron
64'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: H. Barnes replaces A. Isak
24'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by G. Martinelli
0-2
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Arsenal by S. Botman (o.g.)
0-1
7'
Yellow Card
M. Odegaard (Arsenal) cautioned

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Arsenal vs. Newcastle: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Newcastle prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Arsenal vs. Newcastle
  • Date: Saturday, February 24, 2024
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Emirates Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Arsenal -290, Newcastle +700, draw +450

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Arsenal: 69.8%
  • Newcastle: 12.8%
  • Draw: 17.5%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Arsenal 2-0 Newcastle, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Arsenal is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 69.8% probability, while Newcastle sits at 12.8%, with the draw at 17.5%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Arsenal vs. Newcastle prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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