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Burnley vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Burnley vs. Arsenal at the Premier League on February 17, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
5
0
Feb 17, 3PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
Feb 17, 3PM Turf Moor (Burnley)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
M. Odegaard (4')
B. Saka (pen.) (41')
B. Saka (47')
L. Trossard (66')
K. Havertz (78')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Smith Rowe replaces K. Havertz
Substitution for Burnley: J. Bruun Larsen replaces W. Odobert
Substitution for Arsenal: Jorginho replaces D. Rice
Substitution for Burnley: Vitinho replaces L. Assignon
Goal scored for Arsenal by K. Havertz, assisted by J. Kiwior
5-0
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces B. Saka
Substitution for Arsenal: Cedric replaces B. White
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces L. Trossard
Goal scored for Arsenal by L. Trossard, assisted by K. Havertz
4-0
Substitution for Burnley: J. Rodriguez replaces A. Ramsey
Substitution for Burnley: C. Taylor replaces M. Esteve
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka, assisted by M. Odegaard
3-0
Substitution for Burnley: J. B. Gudmundsson replaces Z. Amdouni
B. Saka (Arsenal) cautioned
Goal scored for Arsenal by B. Saka (pen.)
2-0
L. Assignon (Burnley) cautioned
A. Ramsey (Burnley) cautioned
Goal scored for Arsenal by M. Odegaard, assisted by G. Martinelli
1-0
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Burnley vs. Arsenal: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Burnley vs. Arsenal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Burnley vs. Arsenal
- Date: Saturday, February 17, 2024
- Time: 10:00 AM ET
- Venue: Turf Moor
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Burnley +1100, Arsenal -350, draw +500
- Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-175/+140)
Dimers' win probabilities
- Burnley: 9.5%
- Arsenal: 74.2%
- Draw: 16.3%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Burnley 0-2 Arsenal, with a probability of 13%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Burnley is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 9.5% probability, while Arsenal sits at 74.2%, with the draw at 16.3%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Burnley vs. Arsenal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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