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Aston Villa vs. Manchester United Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Manchester United at the Premier League on February 11, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
FINAL
PREMIER LEAGUE
2
1
Feb 11, 4:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Feb 11, 4:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets Score Summary
Douglas Luiz (67')
R. Hojlund (17')
S. McTominay (86')
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
Substitution for Manchester Utd: J. Evans replaces R. Hojlund
Substitution for Manchester Utd: S. Amrabat replaces K. Mainoo
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Digne replaces A. Moreno
Substitution for Aston Villa: N. Zaniolo replaces J. McGinn
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by S. McTominay, assisted by D. Dalot
2-1
Substitution for Aston Villa: Y. Tielemans replaces L. Bailey
Substitution for Manchester Utd: S. McTominay replaces M. Rashford
M. Diaby (Aston Villa) cautioned
Goal scored for Aston Villa by Douglas Luiz
1-1
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces B. Kamara
M. Cash (Aston Villa) cautioned
Substitution for Manchester Utd: V. Lindelof replaces L. Shaw
K. Mainoo (Manchester Utd) cautioned
C. Lenglet (Aston Villa) cautioned
Casemiro (Manchester Utd) cautioned
Goal scored for Manchester Utd by R. Hojlund, assisted by H. Maguire
1-0
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Aston Villa vs. Manchester United: Detailed breakdown
Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Manchester United prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.
Match overview
- Teams: Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
- Date: Sunday, February 11, 2024
- Time: 11:30 AM ET
- Venue: Villa Park
- Tournament: Premier League
Current betting odds
- Moneyline: Aston Villa +115, Manchester United +220, draw +295
Dimers' win probabilities
- Aston Villa: 44.0%
- Manchester United: 32.7%
- Draw: 23.4%
These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.
Projected score
The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Manchester United, with a probability of 10%.
Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.
Our prediction: Who wins?
Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 44.0% probability, while Manchester United sits at 32.7%, with the draw at 23.4%.
For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.
Summary
Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Manchester United prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.
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