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Newcastle vs. Manchester City Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Newcastle vs. Manchester City at the Premier League on January 13, 2024 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Manchester City
3
2
Jan 13, 5:30PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
Newcastle
Jan 13, 5:30PM St. James' Park (Newcastle upon Tyne)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
NewcastleNEW
Score Summary
Manchester CityMNC
A. Isak (35')
Soccer ball icon
A. Gordon (37')
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B. Silva (26')
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K. De Bruyne (74')
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O. Bobb (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
NEW
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
MNC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester City by O. Bobb, assisted by K. De Bruyne
3-2
86'
Substitution
Substitution for Newcastle: L. Hall replaces A. Gordon
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: O. Bobb replaces J. Doku
74'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester City by K. De Bruyne, assisted by Rodri
2-2
69'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: K. De Bruyne replaces B. Silva
55'
Yellow Card
B. Silva (Manchester City) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
Rodri (Manchester City) cautioned
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Gordon, assisted by D. Burn
1-2
35'
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Goal scored for Newcastle by A. Isak, assisted by B. Guimaraes
1-1
26'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Manchester City by B. Silva, assisted by K. Walker
1-0
21'
Yellow Card
B. Guimaraes (Newcastle) cautioned
8'
Substitution
Substitution for Manchester City: S. Ortega replaces Ederson
2'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside

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Newcastle vs. Manchester City: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Manchester City prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Newcastle vs. Manchester City
  • Date: Saturday, January 13, 2024
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: St. James' Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Newcastle +400, Manchester City -150, draw +325
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-155/+125)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Newcastle: 20.5%
  • Manchester City: 57.7%
  • Draw: 21.8%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Newcastle 1-1 Manchester City, with a probability of 10%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Newcastle is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 20.5% probability, while Manchester City sits at 57.7%, with the draw at 21.8%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Newcastle vs. Manchester City prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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