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Chelsea vs. Liverpool Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Chelsea vs. Liverpool at the Premier League on August 13, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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Liverpool
1
:
1
Aug 13, 3:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
Chelsea
Aug 13, 3:30PM Stamford Bridge (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
ChelseaCFC
Score Summary
LiverpoolLFC
A. Disasi (37')
Soccer ball icon
L. Diaz (18')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
CFC
0.0%
Draw
100.0%
LFC
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Yellow Card
A. Mac Allister (Liverpool) cautioned
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Ugochukwu replaces B. Chilwell
86'
Yellow Card
N. Jackson (Chelsea) cautioned
85'
Yellow Card
I. Konate (Liverpool) cautioned
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: I. Maatsen replaces C. Chukwuemeka
81'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Mudryk replaces R. Sterling
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: B. Doak replaces L. Diaz
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: H. Elliott replaces M. Salah
76'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. James
68'
Yellow Card
T. Alexander-Arnold (Liverpool) cautioned
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: C. Jones replaces C. Gakpo
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Liverpool: D. Nunez replaces Diogo Jota
39'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
37'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by A. Disasi, assisted by B. Chilwell
1-1
32'
Yellow Card
E. Fernandez (Chelsea) cautioned
32'
Yellow Card
Diogo Jota (Liverpool) cautioned
29'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
18'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Liverpool by L. Diaz, assisted by M. Salah
1-0
4'
Yellow Card
C. Chukwuemeka (Chelsea) cautioned

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Chelsea vs. Liverpool: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Chelsea vs. Liverpool
  • Date: Sunday, August 13, 2023
  • Time: 11:30 AM ET
  • Venue: Stamford Bridge
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Chelsea +205, Liverpool +138, draw +275
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-172/+140)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Chelsea: 35.9%
  • Liverpool: 40.1%
  • Draw: 23.9%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Chelsea 1-1 Liverpool, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Chelsea is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 35.9% probability, while Liverpool sits at 40.1%, with the draw at 23.9%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Chelsea vs. Liverpool prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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