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Aston Villa vs. Arsenal Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Aston Villa vs. Arsenal at the Premier League on December 9, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Arsenal
0
1
Dec 9, 5:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
Aston Villa
Dec 9, 5:30PM Villa Park (Birmingham)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
Aston VillaVIL
Score Summary
ArsenalARS
J. McGinn (7')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
VIL
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
ARS
0.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: R. Nelson replaces O. Zinchenko
87'
Yellow Card
Diego Carlos (Aston Villa) cautioned
82'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: E. Nketiah replaces Gabriel Jesus
78'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: A. Moreno replaces L. Digne
77'
Yellow Card
D. Rice (Arsenal) cautioned
73'
Yellow Card
J. McGinn (Aston Villa) cautioned
70'
Substitution
Substitution for Arsenal: L. Trossard replaces G. Martinelli
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Cash replaces E. Konsa
66'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: L. Dendoncker replaces B. Kamara
62'
Yellow Card
Douglas Luiz (Aston Villa) cautioned
56'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: J. Ramsey replaces Y. Tielemans
53'
Yellow Card
L. Digne (Aston Villa) cautioned
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Aston Villa: M. Diaby replaces L. Bailey
28'
Yellow Card
O. Zinchenko (Arsenal) cautioned
7'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Aston Villa by J. McGinn, assisted by L. Bailey
0-1

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Aston Villa vs. Arsenal: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Aston Villa vs. Arsenal
  • Date: Saturday, December 9, 2023
  • Time: 12:30 PM ET
  • Venue: Villa Park
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Aston Villa +270, Arsenal +104, draw +270
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-132/+108)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Aston Villa: 24.4%
  • Arsenal: 52.3%
  • Draw: 23.3%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Aston Villa 1-1 Arsenal, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Aston Villa is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 24.4% probability, while Arsenal sits at 52.3%, with the draw at 23.3%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Aston Villa vs. Arsenal prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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