Tottenham vs. Chelsea Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our prediction and analysis for Tottenham vs. Chelsea at the Premier League on November 6, 2023 includes win probabilities and picks for major markets.
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PREMIER LEAGUE
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PREMIER LEAGUE
Chelsea
4
1
Nov 6, 8PM Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)
Tottenham
Nov 6, 8PM Tottenham Hotspur Stadium (London)
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
TottenhamTOT
Score Summary
ChelseaCFC
D. Kulusevski (6')
Soccer ball icon
C. Romero (33')
Red Card icon
D. Udogie (55')
Red Card icon
C. Palmer (pen.) (35')
Soccer ball icon
N. Jackson (75')
Soccer ball icon
N. Jackson (90')
Soccer ball icon
N. Jackson (90')
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Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Win %
TOT
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
CFC
100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
90'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: C. Ugochukwu replaces R. Sterling
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by N. Jackson, assisted by C. Gallagher
3-1
90'
Yellow Card
C. Ugochukwu (Chelsea) cautioned
90'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by N. Jackson, assisted by C. Palmer
4-1
89'
Yellow Card
M. Mudryk (Chelsea) cautioned
86'
Yellow Card
M. Gusto (Chelsea) cautioned
79'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
77'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Gusto replaces R. James
75'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by N. Jackson, assisted by R. Sterling
2-1
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham: R. Bentancur replaces P. M. Sarr
61'
Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham: O. Skipp replaces D. Kulusevski
58'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Mudryk replaces E. Fernandez
55'
Red Card
D. Udogie (Tottenham) sent off for a second yellow card
46'
Substitution
Substitution for Chelsea: M. Cucurella replaces L. Colwill
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham: P. Hojbjerg replaces M. van de Ven
45'
Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham: Emerson Royal replaces J. Maddison
45'
Yellow Card
N. Jackson (Chelsea) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
L. Colwill (Chelsea) cautioned
45'
Yellow Card
P. M. Sarr (Tottenham) cautioned
41'
Yellow Card
A. Postecoglou (Tottenham) cautioned
35'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Chelsea by C. Palmer (pen.)
1-1
34'
Substitution
Substitution for Tottenham: E. Dier replaces B. Johnson
33'
Red Card
C. Romero (Tottenham) sent off with a straight red card
28'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
21'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - handball
18'
Yellow Card
D. Udogie (Tottenham) cautioned
14'
VAR: Goal Disallowed - offside
6'
Soccer ball icon
Goal scored for Tottenham by D. Kulusevski, assisted by P. M. Sarr
0-1

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Tottenham vs. Chelsea: Detailed breakdown

Dimers' Tottenham vs. Chelsea prediction is generated using an international soccer rating framework applied consistently across all Premier League matches. Each output is built on proprietary features and maintained throughout the tournament to ensure reliable and current projections.

Match overview

  • Teams: Tottenham vs. Chelsea
  • Date: Monday, November 6, 2023
  • Time: 3:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Tournament: Premier League

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Tottenham +130, Chelsea +210, draw +260
  • Total (Over/Under): 2.5 goals (-139/+119)

Dimers' win probabilities

  • Tottenham: 37.5%
  • Chelsea: 37.8%
  • Draw: 24.7%

These probabilities are generated using a rating system designed specifically for international soccer. The model evaluates past performance, opponent strength, expected player involvement, and other underlying signals to estimate each team's chance of winning, drawing, or losing.

Projected score

The most likely correct score for this matchup is Tottenham 1-1 Chelsea, with a probability of 11%.

Correct score projections reflect expected scoring distributions. In some cases, a team can carry a higher overall win probability while the most likely specific outcome is a narrow result or a draw.

Our prediction: Who wins?

Tottenham is the most likely winner of this matchup with a 37.5% probability, while Chelsea sits at 37.8%, with the draw at 24.7%.

For full access to Premier League predictions, probabilities, and tools such as Premier League best bets across every match, Dimers Pro unlocks the complete experience.

Summary

Dimers' Tottenham vs. Chelsea prediction is grounded in repeatable logic—not headlines or hunches. This matchup-level analysis also feeds into our broader tournament coverage, including who will win the Premier League and the latest Premier League news.

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