St Kilda Saints vs. Sydney Swans prediction: Swans favored to win Friday's AFL Round 21 matchup [7/31/2026]
Get St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans predictions for AFL Friday.
The St Kilda Saints will face the favored Sydney Swans in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, commencing at 11:05 PM ET.
Dimers' advanced AFL model projects the Swans as the most likely winner in this Swans vs. Saints prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Saints vs. Swans prediction: Who will win Round 21 game?
Our famous predictive model gives the Swans a 60.1% chance of beating the Saints.
According to our model, the Saints (+12.5) have a 56.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 185.5 points has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.
Sydney vs. St Kilda odds
We have sourced the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Swans | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | -204 | +160 |
| Line (Spread) | -12.5 (-115) | +12.5 (-115) |
| Total | o185.5 (-115) | u185.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Swans vs. Saints picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Saints +12.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Saints | +160 |
| Total | Under 185.5 | -115 |
According to our best AFL bets, the top play to make on this game is Saints +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Saints vs. Swans game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Saints and Swans at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to start at 11:05 PM ET.
- Who: Sydney Swans vs. St Kilda Saints
- Date: Friday, July 31, 2026
- Time: 11:05 PM ET/8:05PM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Swans, with a 60.1% win probability, will likely beat the Saints in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
