Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions prediction favors Dockers to win Saturday's AFL Round 29 matchup [9/26/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's AFL game between the Lions and Dockers, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Dockers a 51.6% chance of defeating the Lions. According to our model, the Dockers (+7.5) have a 63.3% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 187.5 points has a 50.9% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Moneyline: Lions , Dockers

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: Under @ -115 via DraftKings

According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fremantle +7.5.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Game info & first bounce details

Saturday's Australian rules football action between the Dockers and Lions at Melbourne Cricket Ground is scheduled to start at 12:30 AM ET.

• Who: Brisbane Lions vs. Fremantle Dockers
• Date: Saturday, September 26, 2026
• Time: 12:30 AM ET/9:30PM PT
• Venue: Melbourne Cricket Ground

The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.

Conclusion

We predict the Dockers, with a 51.6% win probability, will likely beat the Lions in Saturday's AFL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary AFL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.