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Read Article Collingwood Magpies vs. North Melbourne Kangaroos prediction: Why Magpies are favored to win Friday's AFL Round 18 matchup [7/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get Collingwood Magpies vs North Melbourne Kangaroos predictions for AFL Friday.
The Collingwood Magpies will take on the North Melbourne Kangaroos in Australian Football League (AFL) action at Marvel Stadium on Friday, beginning at 5:40 AM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced AFL model predicts the Magpies as the most likely winner of the Kangaroos vs. Magpies game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Magpies vs. Kangaroos prediction: Who will win Round 18 game?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's AFL game between the Kangaroos and Magpies, forming part of our AFL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Magpies a 68.7% chance of beating the Kangaroos.
According to our model, the Kangaroos (+17.5) have a 53.8% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 51.2% chance of staying under,.
North Melbourne vs. Collingwood odds
We have researched the best AFL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kangaroos | Magpies |
|---|---|---|
| H2H (Moneyline) | +185 | -238 |
| Line (Spread) | +17.5 (-115) | -17.5 (-115) |
| Total | o172.5 (-115) | u172.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kangaroos vs. Magpies picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Kangaroos +17.5 | -115 |
| Moneyline | Magpies | -238 |
| Total | Under 172.5 | -115 |
According to our AFL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Kangaroos +17.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Magpies vs. Kangaroos game-day updates and essential details
Friday's Australian rules football matchup between the Magpies and Kangaroos at Marvel Stadium is scheduled to commence at 5:40 AM ET.
- Who: North Melbourne Kangaroos vs. Collingwood Magpies
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Time: 5:40 AM ET/2:40AM PT
- Venue: Marvel Stadium
The AFL is available to bet on in the US through all major sportsbooks, with fans highlighting the high-octane 360-degree nature of the sport as a top reason to follow it.
Conclusion
We predict the Magpies, with a 68.7% win probability, will likely beat the Kangaroos in Friday's AFL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
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